Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Looking Forward to the 2020 Election

Some sense.

Some in Der Movement tell us that “the Alt Right memed Donald Trump into the Presidency,” while others admit that’s not true. Some claim that since there is some fraction of the White population that “hold political views somewhat sympathetic to that of the Alt Right,” then Der Movement can influence the election, others claim that this is nonsense and that the “movement” will be completely irrelevant to the election’s outcome.  Some say we should hope for a Trump victory, others are openly promoting Trump’s defeat. Some predict an easy Trump victory, others say that “Trump is toast no matter what” and that he will “lose in a landslide.”

Let’s consider together. In outline form:

1. Anyone who tries to predict the outcome of the 2020 election today (or worse, even earlier, say, last year) is really an unmitigated idiot (if the shoe fits…). And anyone who not only makes a prediction, but makes it in a dogmatic fashion (e.g., “Trump is toast no matter what…he will lose in a landslide”) is obviously a political retardate with less good judgment than highway roadkill (again, if the shoe fits…). The intelligent approach is to plan contingencies for either outcome, instead of acting like a know-it-all ignorant jackass.

2. I never believed that the Alt Right had any significant effect on the 2016 election whatsoever (apart perhaps from causing Clinton to make her stupid “basket of deplorables” comment) and I certainly don’t think that Der Movement will significantly affect the outcome in 2020 (other than, possibly, by acting stupidly and allowing Trump to be smeared by a non-existent connection between himself and Der Movement). Even if there is some fraction of the White population that “hold political views somewhat sympathetic to that of the Alt Right,” these people are NOT going to vote dependent upon what Der Movement says.  Just because "Joe and Jill Sixpack" may have some inchoate Alt Right beliefs that does not mean that they are going to vote for Trump because Jef Costello says so or not vote for Trump because Richard Spencer says so or believe that “Trump is toast no matter what” because Greg Johnson says so.  Most of those "Sixpack" types  have never heard of any of those great and good Quota Queens, so let’s not have delusions that The Master of Disaster or Gaslighting Greg or Mudshark Annie’s Breakfast Butler are going to be kingmakers.

3. In the short term, a Trump victory is good for us, and a defeat will be bad. I am not a believer in the moronic “worse is better” thesis as a general rule. Whites are not like other races; thus, Whites can take racial and cultural abuse unlimited without properly reacting. Worse is, in most cases, simply worse. The damage that will be done to White American interests by a Democrat Presidential victory in 2020 is clear; Trump may be a weak, vulgar, retarded traitor; but any of the Democrats candidates will, as President, work tirelessly and effectively to wreck White America.  

More to the point, I am skeptical that Der Movement, in its present form, can survive the attacks that will result from a Democratic administration, which would amplify anti-Right persecution. Because of the tragicomic ineptness of Der Movement’s affirmative action Quota Queen “leadership,” because of the retarded stupidity of the majority Type I rank-and-file, because of the lack of any meaningful infrastructure and the lack of anyone with any sense of good judgment and strategic planning, and because of all of the freaks and the defectives and the grifters, the “movement” is exceedingly fragile. It has zero resiliency. It may not be 100% destroyed – something difficult enough for any decentralized dissident activity – but it can be rendered functionally harmless (I mean, even compared its laughable state today); so it can be functionally destroyed, if not literally.  It may take a generation to rebuild American racial activism in such a scenario, if there is not any pre-existing infrastructure of a New Movement already in place. I’m sure the Quota Queens have no contingency planning for this scenario, other than to grift for money and engage in embarrassing stupidities. 

Keep in mind that a Trump victory, however it may be immediately beneficial short term, merely “kicks the can down the road” for another four years. Come 2024, we’ll be in the same quandary, because even if Trump wins, it is almost guaranteed that Der Movement will waste the next four years in the same manner they’ve wasted the last four. They will have accomplished nothing, done nothing, built nothing, planned nothing, and thus we’ll be in the same situation in 2024 as we are in with 2020, except another four precious years would have been wasted.

So, unless Der Movement is replaced by a New Movement, unless the next four years are used to rebuild racial activism from the ground up, even a Trump victory is nothing more than delaying the inevitable reckoning by four years.

Some may say – “But we thought you always advocate for Der Movement being destroyed?”  Yes, but I want Der Movement destroyed from within, by Far Right activists, and replaced by a New Movement, not destroyed from without by the System and replaced by nothing.  Der Movement is so weak and pathetic that the latter is a real possibility, and since Der Movement currently has a near monopoly on (American) racial activism, the System-caused outside-in death of Der Movement under current circumstances may wreck the chances for White racial activism, as a whole, for a generation.  And we don’t have a generation to waste.  Enough time, many decades, have already been wasted.

True, in the long term, it is necessary to politically punish traitors like Trump and the GOP. But that requires a healthy, real movement to be in existence. So, what about the argument of some Quota Queens that it is necessary to “destroy the GOP” and so “Trump must be defeated?” I have myself argued for the destruction of the Republican Party, as part of the Sallis Strategy. The question is whether this is something to be hoped for in 2020 (as written above, I doubt that the Far Right has much influence, but it can at minimum hope and advocate).  The problem is that the Quota Queens advocating for Trump’s defeat and the end of the GOP are the same ones who have created a situation in which such a Republican defeat would be exceedingly dangerous for the “movement.” These are the people who have so wrecked the “movement,” who have made it so weak and fragile, that I’m not confident it can withstand a liberal Democrat-dominated, GOP-less political scenario. The Master of Disaster is one of the leading voices on the Far Right calling for Trump’s defeat and the political destruction of the GOP, and I can’t think of anyone else who has done more to so damage the “movement” so as to make a Democrat victory an existential danger for Der Movement’s existence in its current form (i.e., with a significant open, above ground component). They themselves are responsible for making the outcome they advocate completely untenable.

4. What to do?  I have already discussed many times what needs to be done - the triad of true metapolitics, real world electoral politics, and real community building and infrastructure, all through a New Movement based on quality fundamentals.  

If Trump wins, there will be a four year window to get something done; however, I doubt anything will be done. Further, there needs to be planning now for the eventuality of a Trump loss, but I doubt anything like that is happening either.

Ultimately, the “movement’s” grifting, incompetent, affirmative action Quota Queen “leadership” needs to be deposed and replaced by an authentic, sincere, competent merit -based leadership. Do I expect that to happen?  NO.

5. What will happen?  Essentially nothing positive from Der Movement.  Events will unfold independent of whatever Der Movement says or does (unless they do something very stupid and destructive). I am profoundly pessimistic.  We do not have the requisite human material at all levels, particularly “leadership,” we do not have the proper ideology, we have no infrastructure, we have nothing.  Unless there is radical change, the only hope for long term survival is the rhizome structure of groupuscules. But even that will need to struggle against persecution.  2020 or 2024...the future looks grim.





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