2022 Election Postmortem

Analysis.

To begin with, it must be said that I was once again correct – while I hoped for a Red Wave, I accurately predicted that what we would have instead is a Blue Puddle, Democrats doing much better than expected. Before we do an election postmortem, two other points. 

First, Tucker Carlson’s “analysis” that the real problem was that the Republicans could not get their message out because of media bias is absurd.  While it is true that such bias exists and does harm the GOP, it was not among the primary reasons for the electoral catastrophe.  After all, in 2016, Trump was elected, and the GOP controlled Congress (accomplishing absolutely nothing – a clue to the real issues), in the face of strong media bias. DeSantis did very well in Florida in this election despite the media.  And it should be noted that one primary reason that the media bias exists in the first place is that the incompetent Right has allowed the Left to take over all of America’s major institutions, including the media, without putting up a fight. And where was the Mainstream Right when the Far Right was being silenced? The Mainstream Right mostly supports that silencing; what goes around comes around. In any case, the real problems for the GOP lie elsewhere.

Second, while I have already critiqued Greg Johnson’s wrongheaded and short-sighted opinions on the election (and see here), I also have to say he has a lot of nerve acting as if he speaks on behalf of White nationalists in general on this (or any other) topic. Even if he was an authentic White nationalist, which he is not, being a petty nationalist ethnonationalist, he does not have the right to represent the entire spectrum of opinion of White nationalists. If no one else will tell him to shut his filthy mouth, I do so here. I would also like to point out that if you want to engage with the White Americans that you wish to recruit to your cause, you will, at least sometimes, need to consider issues that your target audience considers important, elections being among them.  And, as I have written, a concern for the election has nothing to do with supporting the Mainstream Right, who are our enemies and should be opposed, and everything about supporting right-wing populism, which is a stepping-stone toward White racial activism. This election was widely perceived (rightfully or not) as a referendum on right-wing populism and other issues of concern to us, and the popular perception is that of a repudiation. That is something to be genuinely concerned about.

So, what sunk the GOP in 2022?

1. Demographics – these changes, which Republicans have enabled for decades, have made it difficult for the GOP to win on a nationwide level and at the level of some of the more populous states. Refusing to address demographics has consequences. Republican attempts to expand their base to include non-Whites have not been as successful as the breathless news stories (mostly about Hispanics) indicate, and even if they were, that is at the cost of alienating the White base, which the GOP takes for granted. This continued alienation of the White base can be a major electoral impediment going forward.

2. The Right in general has ceded most areas of importance to the Left – media and social media, academia, all areas of popular culture, etc., and this has reinforced the tendency of youth to be more leftist than their elders.  Combined with the demographic changes discussed above, which are concentrated among the young, this has restricted the pool of Republican voters.

3. The abortion issue has done great damage. It doesn’t matter if some selected “pro-life” Republicans won; on a national level, abortion mobilized the Left, dampened support for the Right, and may have been the major issue affecting this election. Abortion was the major issue that influenced my 2022 electoral predictions. In order to placate Christard yahoos obsessed with saving niglets from being aborted, the Right squandered a major electoral opportunity. This demonstrates the weakness of Christian nationalism and the dangers of placating the Christian fanatics, who have demonstrated an inability to deliver during an election. The same dangers hold for the Far Right as well; we should be strictly secular and not tied to the Christards.

4. Related to #3, GOP messaging in general was off. While the election was perceived as a referendum on right-wing populism, aspects of the actual GOP messaging was not right-wing populism at all. Obsessions about abortion and tax cuts fit into the “business as usual” GOP agenda. In contrast, candidates like DeSantis and Vance, who were more authentically populist from a rightist standpoint, did well. So the reality of the election was not a repudiation of right-wing populism when such is properly presented to the appropriate state audiences; however, a national level, there was a perception of such a repudiation.  In politics, popular perception (right or wrong) can be devastating.

And the GOP failed to effectively counter Democrat messaging. Republicans could have forcefully pushed back against the Jan. 6 narratives by pointing out that some guy running around the Capitol Building dressed like a bison was less of a threat than the preceding eight months of rioting, arson, murder, vandalism, intimidation, setting up of autonomous zones (real insurrection), besieging the President in the White House (ditto), etc. But cowardly Republicans are afraid of being seen as “extremist,” they are unable to push back against anything (being weak and useless grifters habituated to constantly losing), and the cuckservative faction actually agrees with the Democrats about Jan.6 anyway. The GOP had a lousy message, regardless of whether the media conspired to have that message suppressed (suppression may actually be a positive given how lousy the message is).

5. Related to #4, Trump had a lot to do with this poor electoral outcome. Even people who support right-wing populism are tired of Trump’s pathological sociopathic narcissism and his overweening stupidity. As President he did nothing and betrayed his base; now, he acts the buffoon even more than usual and alienates thoughtful people. Trumptards are a danger to pro-White activism as well, as there are still many on the Far Right obsessed with their God Emperor and with his German-Scottish ancestry.

6. The Republicans ran godawful candidates.  Walker in Georgia is not only on the left side of the general hominid bell curve, but on the left side of the specifically Negro bell curve. And it doesn’t matter if articulate medical doctor Mehmet Oz is objectively of more merit than the shambling brain-damaged Frankenstein monster “Lurch” Fetterman. What matters is - who is the better candidate for the state of Pennsylvania? White residents of that state are well-known for being pathologically xenophobic in distinguishing between “good” native Pennsylvanians and “bad" everyone else. Of course they’d favor a native retard over a cosmopolitan Muslim Turk carpetbagger. Indeed, if this fine gentleman was a native Pennsylvanian, then he would likely win an election against Mehmet Oz.

Well, well, well... Note that MacDonald and I are in agreement, and against Johnson's perspective. Will Johnson and MacDonald debate this issue?

If Trump gets the 2924 nomination...

Does Trump have a time machine?

More from MacDonald (bold font emphasis added):

The great majority of White people—the ones who aren’t seriously religious—tend to vote Democrat by a substantial margin. This a good indication of the hopelessness of the cause of getting White people to understand the need to start asserting their interests as Whites.

And of course, to make matters worse, the born-agains and Evangelicals are at best implicitly White. Their world view is foreign to racial thinking and they strongly support Israel and see Jews in a very positive light.

So in general, these results show that the great majority of Whites are still very much under the spell of the narrative being pumped out by the media and the educational system, and have no idea what their long-term interests are. It’s all going to work out wonderfully, and we can all look forward to a harmonious, conflict free future.

The conclusion is that there aren’t any more signs of a White awakening than have been evident in the recent past, despite all the reasons to further coalesce in the Republican Party. Like I said, depressing. The message of the dissident right is not getting through.

Very interesting.  I agree.  Let's take a look again at that last sentence: "The message of the dissident right is not getting through."

Now, we can contrast that to Gaslighting Greg, who insists that the election results are optimal (and, anyway, who cares, right?) and that we are winning and effectively getting dissident right ideas into the mainstream. The two Fearless Leaders could not be more different in their interpretation of the current situation.

Obviously I agree with MacDonald here.  Why such a difference? Hypothesis about the Far Right - the more someone is dependent on donations, the more likely they are to say that (a) they don't care about the mid-term results and/or (b) they think the results are good.

Rationale:

• 1. The tincuppers do not want their followers too distracted by mainstream electoral politics, since that would take attention away from "movement" page views and panhandling.
• 2. The tincuppers are afraid that if their followers get too "blackpilled" they will fall into despair and not bother with page views and donations. Hence, the paradox of "worse is better" types constantly telling us how "we are winning."

Compare Johnson vs. MacDonald vs. Sallis. By this hypothesis, one would predict Taylor would fall in between Johnson and MacDonald.

In any case, again, note that when these guys have such fundamental, existential disagreements, they don't "call out" the other, don't debate, and rarely if ever mention it. The Good Old Boys Network of Der Movement trumps principled opposition and a pursuit of the truth.